Benfica vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
1-5
HT 1-3
Benfica
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Benfica
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR
1-5
HT 1-1
Benfica
POR
Benfica 4-0 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica swept aside Portimonense 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 69% of the ball to Portimonense's 31%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.49 to 0.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Benfica and 0.83 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Portimonense?
Benfica 4-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Benfica 71%, draw 16%, Portimonense 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.