Casa Pia vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Boavista
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Boavista
PORLC
Casa Pia 0-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Boavista squeezed past Casa Pia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Casa Pia had 67% of the ball to Boavista's 33%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.92 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casa Pia and 0.20 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Boavista?
Casa Pia 0-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 42%, draw 29%, Boavista 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casa Pia) went the other way.