İstanbulspor 3-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

İstanbulspor
3-2 HT 2-1
Manisa FK
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
7%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 32% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.92
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.8
X/1
20%
3.68
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
11%
5.8
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
13%
9.0
2/X
4%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.63/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
+24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
16.5 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.6

İstanbulspor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.72 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
360 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.01.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-2 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
14.08.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-4 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L

İstanbulspor 3-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
3-2
AWAY Manisa FK
1.83 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
322 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 54% of the ball to Manisa FK's 46%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.83 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İstanbulspor and 2.50 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Manisa FK?

İstanbulspor 3-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 47%, draw 25%, Manisa FK 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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