Adanaspor 2-1 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.5
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.96
X/2
10%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.17
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.12.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
2-1
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.20 xG 0.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
235 Passes 435
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor edged past Esenler Erokspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adanaspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adanaspor had 36% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 64%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.20 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Adanaspor 2-1 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 42%, draw 29%, Esenler Erokspor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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