Hradec Kralove 1-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.41/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.43
+3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.4 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 0.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
24.08.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
09.03.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
01.10.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
22.04.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
29.10.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.66 xG 0.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
150 Passes 327
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove and FK Pardubice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hradec Kralove at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 36% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 64%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.17 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice?

Hradec Kralove 1-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 60%, draw 20%, FK Pardubice 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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