Sparta Prag 1-0 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
8.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+2.5pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
2.24/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.84
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +65%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.1 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
294 Passes 180
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
14.05.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
01.03.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.09.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-0
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.28 xG 0.19
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
564 Passes 126
87% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Sigma Olomouc 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 76% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 24%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.28 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.50 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Sparta Prag 1-0 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 68%, draw 18%, Sigma Olomouc 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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