Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
0.91/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.88
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
25.8 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
196 Passes 401
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
28.01.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
14.08.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.38 xG 1.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
177 Passes 182
57% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag edged past Sigma Olomouc 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 50% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.38 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 32%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
1 Mar 2025
15:30 Ceske Budejovice vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
18:00 Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec Analysis →
21:00 Teplice vs FK Pardubice Analysis →