Hradec Kralove 1-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.43/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.7 Crosses 21.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.69 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
02.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-4 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
11.09.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
06.03.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-1
AWAY Jablonec
0.55 xG 2.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
270 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove and Jablonec couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 47% of the ball to Jablonec's 53%, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 0.55 to 2.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?

Hradec Kralove 1-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 37%, draw 29%, Jablonec 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hradec Kralove) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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