Teplice 2-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.49/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.51
-5% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.4 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 0.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 7
35 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
17.02.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.09.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
06.05.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
19.03.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
02.10.2022 Teplice Teplice 5-1 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
2-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.60 xG 0.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
238 Passes 307
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Teplice vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice got the better of FK Pardubice 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Teplice as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Teplice had 47% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 53%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.60 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Teplice and 1.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Teplice vs FK Pardubice?

Teplice 2-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Teplice 50%, draw 23%, FK Pardubice 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teplice) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teplice) ✗ Over 2.5
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