Sigma Olomouc 3-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
51%
-11.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 55%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.65/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.64
-57% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
186 Passes 292
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.09.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
28.01.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
3-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc beat Sparta Prag 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Sigma Olomouc made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 42% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 58%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Sigma Olomouc 3-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 33%, draw 28%, Sparta Prag 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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