Sparta Prag 1-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
2.10/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.80
+3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.7 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
292 Passes 186
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.05.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
01.03.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.09.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.23 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
298 Passes 166
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
27 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Sigma Olomouc couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sparta Prag carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 57% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.23 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.33 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Sparta Prag 1-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 59%, draw 23%, Sigma Olomouc 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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