Viktoria Plzen 4-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
68%
-18.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
2.09/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.80
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
478 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.8 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 207
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 0-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
03.08.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
02.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
17.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
08.04.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4-1
AWAY Jablonec
1.83 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
223 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen ran out comfortable winners over Jablonec 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 39% of the ball to Jablonec's 61%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.83 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.17 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Viktoria Plzen 4-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 50%, draw 23%, Jablonec 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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