Viktoria Plzen 3-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
15%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.99
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.4 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 220
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
02.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
17.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
08.04.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.10.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3-2
AWAY Jablonec
2.70 xG 1.63
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
455 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen squeezed past Jablonec 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 67% of the ball to Jablonec's 33%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.70 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Viktoria Plzen 3-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 49%, draw 25%, Jablonec 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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