Mlada Boleslav 3-0 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.01/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.8 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 1.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
343 Passes 184
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
31.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.02.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.09.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-1 HT 3-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.05.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.05.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-0
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.67 xG 1.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
403 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav swept aside Hradec Kralove 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Mlada Boleslav made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 53% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 47%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.67 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.00 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Mlada Boleslav 3-0 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 38%, draw 29%, Hradec Kralove 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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