Sportfreunde Lotte 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.95/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.89
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.01.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
16.09.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
14.12.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II ALMBÖL
22.08.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II got the better of Sportfreunde Lotte 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.00 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 53%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund II 27%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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