St. Pauli II 2-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.31
No
42%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.40/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.76
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
22.09.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-5 HT 1-3 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
30.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-1 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
10.05.2014 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II nicked a narrow win over St. Pauli II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Werder Bremen II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli II and 2.50 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?

St. Pauli II 2-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 37%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen II 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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