Alvarado 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
0.90/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.08
-13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
05.04.2025 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
17.08.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 HT 2-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
31.03.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
15.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
12.06.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alvarado and 0.83 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Alvarado 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 36%, draw 34%, Club Atletico Guemes 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alvarado), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
10 Aug 2025
00:00 Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →
19:30 Atletico Atlanta vs San Miguel Analysis →
21:30 Club Atletico Mitre vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
21:30 Almirante Brown vs Central Norte Analysis →
21:30 Temperley vs San Telmo Analysis →
22:00 Colon vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →