Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.20/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.69
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
05.04.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
14.04.2018 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
14.11.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
28.06.2015 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros saw off Defensores De Belgrano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 35% / 24%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Caseros found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.00 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 40%, draw 35%, Defensores De Belgrano 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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