Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.56
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
7%
7.85
X/X
9%
5.5
2/1
8%
21.55
2/2
12%
5.38
2/X
5%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.84/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.81
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
13.7 Crosses 8.9
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Juventus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
446 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25.07.2015 Juventus Juventus 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund HAZ
18.03.2015 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-3 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus ŞMP
24.02.2015 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1-2
AWAY Juventus
0.85 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
480 Passes 344
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 58% of the ball to Juventus's 42%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.85 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.67 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Juventus?

Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Juventus in the Friendlies on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 53%, draw 20%, Juventus 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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