Sunderland 0-3 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.24
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
16%
6.21
X/2
11%
5.31
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.32
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 43%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -21%
0.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.44
-79% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-3
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano cruised past Sunderland 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rayo Vallecano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sunderland had 42% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 58%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sunderland 0-3 Rayo Vallecano in the Friendlies on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 35%, draw 27%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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