ADO Den Haag vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
1-4
HT 0-3
Willem II
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL
ADO Den Haag 5-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag ran out comfortable winners over Willem II 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball to Willem II's 34%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.95 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 2.00 for Willem II.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Willem II?
ADO Den Haag 5-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 46%, draw 24%, Willem II 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.