PEC Zwolle 1-0 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.17
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.05
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.41
X/2
13%
4.9
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
25%
2.72
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.05 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.25/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
+10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
18.4 Crosses 20.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Twente
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
14.09.2024 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.05.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
20.08.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2022 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
18.12.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-0
AWAY Twente
0.88 xG 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
247 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle nicked a narrow win over Twente 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Twente at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 43% of the ball to Twente's 57%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.88 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.83 for Twente.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Twente?

PEC Zwolle 1-0 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 29%, draw 24%, Twente 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Twente), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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