Leones Negros Udeg 4-2 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Aug 2025

Leones Negros Udeg
4-2 HT 0-2
Irapuato
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Leones Negros Udeg vs Irapuato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leones Negros Udeg v Irapuato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg got the better of Irapuato 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Leones Negros Udeg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Irapuato?

Leones Negros Udeg 4-2 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 38%, draw 31%, Irapuato 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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