Cancun FC 3-0 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.68/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.67
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cancun FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.03.2025 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
29.09.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-2 HT 3-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.01.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
07.09.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
09.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.07.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC cruised past Tlaxcala 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cancun FC and 1.17 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala?

Cancun FC 3-0 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cancun FC vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cancun FC 50%, draw 24%, Tlaxcala 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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