Tlaxcala 1-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Mar 2025

Tlaxcala
1-1 HT 1-1
Cancun FC
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
0.85/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.60
-36% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 5-2 HT 3-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.01.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
07.09.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
09.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.07.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
07.04.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and Cancun FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.33 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC?

Tlaxcala 1-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 40%, draw 28%, Cancun FC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
16 Mar 2025
02:00 Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Analysis →
04:00 CDS Tampico Madero vs Celaya Analysis →
06:05 Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Analysis →
21:00 Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →