Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leones Negros Udeg v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 4-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-2
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
Leones Negros Udeg squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.83 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 74%, draw 17%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 9%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.