Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-3
HT 2-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
4-2
HT 2-2
CA La Paz
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia cruised past CA La Paz 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.20 for CA La Paz.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz?
Monarcas Morelia 4-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs CA La Paz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 64%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.