Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -9%
1.64/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.23
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Corners 0
28.09.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.01.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
10.09.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
02.03.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.06.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
17.02.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Dorados De Sinaloa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.67 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 43%, draw 19%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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