Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.17 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Monarcas Morelia 3-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 70%, draw 21%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.