Lilleström vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lilleström v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals
Lilleström vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Lilleström
NOR
5-1
HT 2-1
Aalesund
NOR
2-1
HT 1-1
Lilleström
NOR
1-0
HT 1-0
Aalesund
NOK
2-0
HT 2-0
Aalesund
NOR
Lilleström 5-1 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström cruised past Aalesund 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Lilleström had 63% of the ball to Aalesund's 37%, shots finished 18-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lilleström and 1.00 for Aalesund.
What was the final score of Lilleström vs Aalesund?
Lilleström 5-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Aalesund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 55%, draw 24%, Aalesund 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.