Kongsvinger 2-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.84
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.35
6+ Goals
17%
4.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.1pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.2pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.95/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.39
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Stabaek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Stabaek Stabaek 2-2 HT 2-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
21.10.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
04.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
27.08.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
30.05.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.09.2013 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger edged past Stabaek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.50 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Kongsvinger 2-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 54%, draw 20%, Stabaek 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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