Kongsvinger 1-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.95
2-3 Goals
41%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.14
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Stabaek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
27.08.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
30.05.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.09.2013 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
20.04.2013 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-2 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
26.09.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
1-3
AWAY Stabaek
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek saw off Kongsvinger 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Stabaek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 53% of the ball to Stabaek's 47%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.33 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Kongsvinger 1-3 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 37%, draw 26%, Stabaek 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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