Valerenga 4-0 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.3
2-3 Goals
35%
2.22
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
4.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.81/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/2.46
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.06.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
4-0
AWAY Egersunds
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga swept aside Egersunds 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga had 48% of the ball to Egersunds's 52%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Egersunds?

Valerenga 4-0 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 54%, draw 24%, Egersunds 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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