Bryne 1-0 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.2pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bryne EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +45%
1.62/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
-23% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bryne
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Raufoss
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
12.11.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
02.07.2023 Bryne Bryne 4-1 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.08.2022 Bryne Bryne 5-0 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
09.05.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
24.10.2021 Bryne Bryne 3-1 HT 1-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bryne
1-0
AWAY Raufoss
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bryne vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bryne edged past Raufoss 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bryne as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bryne had 54% of the ball to Raufoss's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bryne had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bryne and 0.67 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Bryne vs Raufoss?

Bryne 1-0 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bryne vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bryne win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bryne 47%, draw 30%, Raufoss 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bryne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bryne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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