Raufoss 0-1 Bryne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bryne EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.70/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.87
+16% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bryne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
02.07.2023 Bryne Bryne 4-1 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.08.2022 Bryne Bryne 5-0 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
09.05.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Bryne Bryne NOR1
24.10.2021 Bryne Bryne 3-1 HT 1-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
05.07.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 4-1 HT 2-1 Bryne Bryne NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Bryne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bryne squeezed past Raufoss 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bryne as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bryne led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raufoss and 2.33 for Bryne.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Bryne?

Raufoss 0-1 Bryne in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Bryne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bryne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 32%, draw 25%, Bryne 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bryne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bryne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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