Egersunds 3-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

Egersunds
3-1 HT 2-1
Aalesund
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Egersunds vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egersunds v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds saw off Aalesund 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Egersunds found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Aalesund?

Egersunds 3-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 36%, draw 26%, Aalesund 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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