Lyn Oslo 1-1 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 36% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyn Oslo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valerenga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.06.2023 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOK
04.06.2014 Valerenga Valerenga 5-2 HT 2-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOK
20.09.2009 Valerenga Valerenga 4-1 HT 3-1 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
21.05.2009 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 4-4 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
15.09.2008 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
01.06.2008 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 2-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
POST-MATCH Lyn Oslo vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyn Oslo and Valerenga shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lyn Oslo and 2.67 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Lyn Oslo vs Valerenga?

Lyn Oslo 1-1 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyn Oslo vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lyn Oslo 28%, draw 26%, Valerenga 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valerenga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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