Aalesund 3-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.66/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.28
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Start
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Start Start 1-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
01.11.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
30.05.2021 Start Start 2-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
30.08.2020 Start Start 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
29.07.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 1-2 Start Start NOR
26.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Start 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalesund and 1.50 for Start.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Start?

Aalesund 3-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 46%, draw 26%, Start 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
21 Oct 2024
20:00 Valerenga vs Egersunds Analysis →
20:00 Bryne vs Raufoss Analysis →
20:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
20:00 Mjondalen vs Sogndal Analysis →
20:00 Kongsvinger vs Stabaek Analysis →
20:30 Moss vs Levanger Analysis →