Moss 5-1 Levanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.4pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.1pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Levanger EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.63
-33% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Levanger
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Levanger Levanger 5-0 HT 4-0 Moss Moss NOR1
26.10.2019 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-1 Levanger Levanger NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Levanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss cruised past Levanger 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levanger led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moss and 3.50 for Levanger.

What was the final score of Moss vs Levanger?

Moss 5-1 Levanger in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Levanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Moss 45%, draw 34%, Levanger 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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