Stabaek 2-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.50
+28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
04.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
27.08.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
30.05.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.09.2013 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
20.04.2013 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-2 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
2-2
AWAY Kongsvinger
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek and Kongsvinger couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stabaek had 40% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 60%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stabaek and 0.67 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Kongsvinger?

Stabaek 2-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 36%, draw 29%, Kongsvinger 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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