Moss 0-3 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 31 May 2025

Moss
0-3 HT 0-0
Start
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 39%
+28% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
2.09/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.24
+38% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Start
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Start Start 1-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
21.05.2024 Moss Moss 2-1 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR1
24.09.2023 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
10.04.2023 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
29.06.2022 Moss Moss 0-3 HT 0-1 Start Start NOK
12.10.2008 Moss Moss 4-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
0-3
AWAY Start
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start ran out comfortable winners over Moss 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Start made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moss had 56% of the ball to Start's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Moss and 0.83 for Start.

What was the final score of Moss vs Start?

Moss 0-3 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moss 40%, draw 25%, Start 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Moss), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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