Start vs Moss Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Start v Moss — Team-Based Signals
Start vs Moss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Moss
NOR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Start
NOR1
0-3
HT 0-1
Start
NOK
4-0
HT 2-0
Start
NOR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Moss
NOR1
Start 1-1 Moss — Actual Match Statistics
Start and Moss couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Start at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Start had 36% of the ball to Moss's 64%, shots finished 9-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Start and 1.00 for Moss.
What was the final score of Start vs Moss?
Start 1-1 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Start vs Moss?
Before kick-off our model rated a Start win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Start 41%, draw 24%, Moss 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Start), Over 2.5 went the other way.