Ranheim 0-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ranheim EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +16%
1.33/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.08
-11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ranheim
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Aalesund
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
20.10.2021 Ranheim Ranheim 3-3 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
22.09.2021 Ranheim Ranheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
18.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
29.05.2013 Ranheim Ranheim 2-2 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
POST-MATCH Ranheim vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund edged past Ranheim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Aalesund made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ranheim had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Ranheim and 1.60 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Ranheim vs Aalesund?

Ranheim 0-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ranheim vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ranheim 33%, draw 27%, Aalesund 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Under 2.5
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