Raufoss 1-1 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

Raufoss
1-1 HT 0-0
Kongsvinger
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Raufoss vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Raufoss v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.34/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.93
-7% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Raufoss vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
06.08.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
21.05.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.08.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
15.05.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 4-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
01.11.2020 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-3 HT 2-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss and Kongsvinger couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Raufoss and 2.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Kongsvinger?

Raufoss 1-1 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 36%, draw 30%, Kongsvinger 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raufoss), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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