Sogndal 2-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.39
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Raufoss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 4-1 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
22.05.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
16.03.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss Raufoss HAZ
23.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.10.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and Raufoss couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sogndal at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 2.33 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Sogndal 2-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 44%, draw 28%, Raufoss 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sogndal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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