Mjondalen 2-3 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.49/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.15
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sogndal
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.05.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
21.10.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.04.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
12.11.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
10.06.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
14.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-4 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
2-3
AWAY Sogndal
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal squeezed past Mjondalen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Mjondalen had 58% of the ball to Sogndal's 42%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mjondalen and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Sogndal?

Mjondalen 2-3 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 28%, draw 24%, Sogndal 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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