Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haugesund v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Haugesund
NOR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
4-0
HT 3-0
Haugesund
NOR
3-1
HT 2-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Haugesund 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Haugesund squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Haugesund had 38% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 62%, shots finished 7-29, expected goals 1.79 to 3.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sarpsborg 08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haugesund and 2.00 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08?
Haugesund 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 17%, draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.