Rostov 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

Rostov
1-0 HT 0-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
20%
4.73
X/2
6%
7.62
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
6%
23.5
2/2
11%
5.53
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.47
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.2 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 1.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 193
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 4-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.02.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
26.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.03.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rostov and 0.67 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rostov 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rostov 53%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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