FC Sochi 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.38
1/2
6%
21.75
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
12%
8.6
X/2
12%
4.48
X/X
12%
5.43
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.34
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.56/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.05
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
17.8 Crosses 19.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-2 HT 1-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
05.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-2 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
06.11.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
01.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
09.09.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
21.05.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-5 HT 1-4 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.18 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
212 Passes 386
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 39% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 61%, shots finished 4-29, expected goals 0.18 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Sochi and 1.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Dinamo Moscow?

FC Sochi 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 26%, draw 23%, Dinamo Moscow 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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