Dinamo Moscow 3-2 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 24%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.56/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.45
+45% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.23 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-2 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
06.11.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
01.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
09.09.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
21.05.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-5 HT 1-4 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
19.09.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
3-2
AWAY FC Sochi
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow edged past FC Sochi 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 60% of the ball to FC Sochi's 40%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 2.33 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs FC Sochi?

Dinamo Moscow 3-2 FC Sochi in the Russia - Cup on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 48%, draw 25%, FC Sochi 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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